XYL (XYL) — Downtrend in force
XYL (XYL) is trading at $104.49, +3.56 (+2.02%) on the session. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is down with a -15.6% move. Price is -19.4% from its 6-month high and +3.6% from its 6-month low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Probability scenarios
Bearish bias — 1 bullish, 6 bearish, 1 neutral of 8 signals.
Trend Downtrend in force
XYL (XYL) is trading at $104.49. Over the last 128 sessions the trend is **down** with a -15.6% move.
Price is -19.4% from the 6-month high and +3.6% from the low. Annualised volatility (30-day) is ~25%.
Price is on the 15-day MA ($104.28) and below the 50-day SMA ($111.54).
Bollinger Bands Inside the bands — range-bound
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): price is at $104.49, upper $110.72, middle $105.01, lower $99.30. Price is inside the bands — range-bound.
Bandwidth is 10.9% of price — moderate. Width contraction often precedes a directional breakout; expansion confirms one underway.
RSI (14) Below 50
RSI(14) is 45.3. Momentum has faded; the bullish case needs rebuilding.
Generally: above 70 = overheated, above 50 = bullish trend, below 50 = bearish trend, below 30 = oversold.
MACD (12, 26, 9) Bullish — fast line above signal
MACD (12, 26, 9): line $-2.52, signal $-2.70, histogram +0.186.
The fast line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive — a bullish configuration. Momentum is expanding.
Volume Analysis Balanced volume
Up-day and down-day volume are roughly even (ratio 0.94) over the recent 19 sessions — no strong conviction either way.
Rule of thumb: price up on high volume = accumulation; price down on high volume = distribution. Low-volume pullbacks after a rally are usually profit-taking, not panic.
Smart Money (A/D) Smart money distributing
The A/D line is falling and well off highs. If smart money were exiting you would expect lower highs and volume spikes on down days — distribution pressure is building.
A/D combines price position within the day's range with volume: rising = net buying pressure, falling = net selling pressure. It often leads price at turning points.
Anchored VWAP Below anchored VWAP — period buyers underwater
Price ($104.49) is -8.7% below the anchored VWAP ($114.40). Period buyers are underwater — overhead supply tends to cap rallies.
Anchored VWAP is the volume-weighted average from the start of the scraped series — a proxy for the period's average institutional cost basis.
Key Levels 3 resistance / 1 support levels
Current price $104.49. Resistance above: $107.47, $109.14, $110.72. Support below: $98.58.
Watch $107.47 as the first upside level to clear, and $98.58 as the first downside level to hold. A clean break of either often determines the next leg.
Resistance
$107.47
Resistance
$109.14
Resistance
$110.72
Support
$98.58
Signal breakdown
- Trend (6mo) Bearish Linear-regression slope is down (-15.6% over the period).
- Price vs 50-day SMA Bearish Price is below the 50-day SMA ($111.54).
- RSI (14) Bearish RSI 45 — below 50, momentum fading.
- MACD (12,26,9) Bullish Histogram positive (+0.186) — fast line above signal.
- Bollinger %B Bearish Price in the lower half of the bands (%B 0.45).
- Volume profile Neutral Volume balanced between up and down days.
- A/D line Bearish A/D line slope is falling — distribution pressure.
- AVWAP Bearish Price below anchored VWAP ($114.40).
Generated from 128 daily closes in the scraped 6-month OHLCV series (quote data 2026-10-06T15:33:48.599057781Z). Every level, rating, and probability traces to a computed indicator — no commentary is hand-written or fixed per symbol. Recomputed on each page load from the latest scrape.